Allan Lichtman is a historian and predicted the past nine out of 10 elections correctly except the race between George W Bush and Al Gore. Nate Silver is a statistician and his model gained popularity after he rightly predicted the result in 49 states out of 50 in 2008. Their methods are different and while Lichtman’s prediction is a Kamala Harris victory, Nate Silver said his gut feeling is Donald Trump would win.